We will enter a transient windy period of weather moving through the weekend with new ridge building to our southwest, but weather systems passing to our north. Dry northerly winds over the mountains will continue through Sunday, increasing fire danger even with reduced temperatures. The next system looks wetter and will be here on Monday. Rain always seems like a good possibility, at least on the coast. Another system could bring rain to the area late next week, possibly Thursday. All the while, expect occasional gusty northwesterly winds.
Air quality: GOOD TO MODERATE
** High surf advisory**
…effective until 3 p.m. Sunday for North Monterey Bay and South Monterey Bay and Big Sur Coast
Big breaking waves 18-22 feet at 11 seconds. Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and localized beach erosion.
It is advisable to stay away from the shore, strong rip currents can also develop in the coastal marine environment.
Inexperienced swimmers should stay out of the water due to dangerous surf conditions.
… for coastal waters near Pigeon Point north to Point Piedras Blancas and coastal waters from Point Pinos to Point Piedras Blancas in California to 10 nm. in effect until Sunday 3 p.m.
*Northwest winds 20 to 30 kt gusting to 40 kt and sea 7 to 12 feet at 11 seconds expected.
*Strong winds will cause dangerous seas which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.
Mariners should modify their plans to avoid these dangerous conditions. Stay in port, find a safe port, change course and/or secure the ship in difficult conditions.
…effective now through 5 p.m. Sunday for North Bay Interior Mountains, Santa Clara Eastern Hills, East Bay Hills.
North winds 20-35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. Locally stronger winds on higher peaks and ridges.
Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree branches could be felled and some power outages could result.
The strongest winds are expected Saturday evening through Sunday morning over the inland mountains.
Take extra care when driving, especially if you’re driving a high-end vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.
Overnight: Rather clear sky. Windy north/northwesterly winds will help keep the lows in the 40s for coastal and inland areas. Some 30s for the valley pitches.
Sunday: Another pleasant day with seasonal to slightly warm temperatures. Skies generally clear, with gusty winds from the northwest. Clouds will rise late, before a cold front approaches. The highs won’t change much, with mostly 60s along the coast, 70s inland.
Monday: Mostly cloudy with light rain showers starting before noon around the coast. Light showers will continue for most of the day, pushing further inland, easing in the evening. Temperatures will drop a few more degrees, with temperatures above 50 to 60 along the coast, 70 inland. Windy conditions will persist as the system passes.
Expanded: The central coast will dry out for a few days before another system sets in which could bring additional rains this weekend. Cooler temperatures are expected through mid-week before warming slightly before the weekend.
Normal temperatures this week:
-The Climate Prediction Center outlook for April 17and – 23rd calls for the likelihood of ABOVE normal temperatures and BELOW normal rainfall.
– El Niño/La Niña STATUS: La Niña Notice
– Forecast for the summer: Weak La Niña
– State of dryness of the area: “Severe Drought” for most of the viewing area with the far eastern fringes of Santa Benito and the southeast corner of Monterey County in “Extreme Drought”.