- 91L sends surf and could become a named storm this weekend
- Surfing resumes around Labor Day along the US East Coast
- Disturbances near the Azores could become Danielle’s first, delivering the surf next week
Usually, from late August to September, East Coast surfers are waiting to get excited. The seeds of future hurricanes leave Africa every three to five days, and the Atlantic provides the most hospitable environment for these seeds to grow and bloom in a tropical surf rainforest. That’s usually how it goes.
But something has been different this season. The tropical waves always come as expected, but they are not that impressive. And they encountered hostile conditions along the way. The National Hurricane Center is monitoring a system well east of the Windward Islands, 91L, but what once looked like a surefire named system on some models is more likely to remain unnamed for at least the rest of the week. And as this system struggles, a newly identified area of low pressure (93L) in the mid-latitudes of the central Atlantic could sneakily become Danielle, the first tropical cyclone to form in months.
Live cameras: New Smyrna | Jax Pier | Washing | crystal pier | Bug Entry | Avon | nag head
But the namesake doesn’t matter because 91L will still send a fun East Coast surf kick. Senior Forecaster Mike Watson updates us:
“We are watching 91L closely and there is fairly good pattern agreement through the week. “Atlantic which sends dry air. Over the weekend, it will evolve in a more favorable environment which should allow for better organization and reinforcement.
The Eastern Caribbean islands are seeing waves pick up for the rest of the week and into the weekend for Puerto Rico. If the storm slows or becomes stationary, as some models have suggested, it could return a N swell next week.
Forecast: Central Florida | North Florida | madness | Wrightville | Cape Hatteras | External banks
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Soup Bowl in Barbados is one of the first spots to see surf since 91L.
The easterly trajectory towards the east coast of the United States is favorable for swell generation. 91L is reaching a better environment to strengthen as it heads north to the Leeward Islands this weekend where it could become a named storm. The first signs of a small ESE/SE swell are starting to arrive this weekend with a larger slowdown showing up through Labor Day and extending into Tuesday. Florida’s breaks through the Outer Banks will make the most of the fun-sized surf – how much the northern half of the coast gets depends on how the system develops over the weekend and its path to the beginning of next week. However, the low near the Azores, #93L, could send an easterly to northeasterly swell for the middle to second half of next week.
An advantage if 91L remains a weaker, nameless system – fewer liquidations. At this time we are expecting a lower mid-period swell – the kind most East Coast breaks prefer.
A lot can happen between now and next week when the surf hits the East Coast, so be sure to check your local forecast regularly for updates.
Prospects: South Jersey | Queens | Suffolk County | Rhode Island | New Hampshire | Maine
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